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Hurricane Isaias is a Category 3 storm, and it's heading for the northern Gulf Coast, not Naples. If you're watching the forecast from Collier County, the short version is that you're not in its path.
That doesn't mean you can ignore the water. Naples took nearly 5 inches of rain in a few hours on October 7, before Isaias was even the main story. The surf is building, the tides are running high, and the ground has had very little time to dry out.
Here's what the forecast says for Naples as of Friday afternoon, October 9, and what we'd check around your property this weekend.
By midday Friday, Isaias was roughly 170 nautical miles north-northwest of Sarasota and closing on the Florida Panhandle. The heavy rain, wind, and storm surge are a northern Gulf Coast problem.
For Southwest Florida, the National Weather Service says the main threats are on the water and at the beach. That means high surf, a high risk of rip currents through Sunday, and elevated east and southeast winds all weekend. All of coastal Collier County is under a rip current advisory, and lifeguards at Vanderbilt Beach have been flying double red flags.
On rain, the NWS Miami office covering Naples puts the chance at 30% on Saturday, October 10, mostly passing showers with a possible thunderstorm. Their read as of Friday: no flooding concerns for Naples this weekend. Naples Daily News coverage of Isaias in Southwest Florida
Tides are the other piece. FOX 13 reports high tides along Florida's west coast could run 1 to 3 feet above normal as Isaias tracks toward the Panhandle. Exact levels vary by location, so check the NWS Miami forecast office for your stretch of coast before assuming anything about your waterfront.
Look at what's already happened this month. A stalled front dropped nearly 5 inches on Naples in a few hours on October 7, and much of the city flooded. That came after most of 2026 in drought, with a dry June, July, and August. September and the first week of October were steady and wet.
So the soil and the drainage system are carrying more than they have all year. A passing shower this weekend lands on ground that has less room to take it.
There's also the calendar. The rainy season historically runs from May 15 to October 15, based on NWS data going back to 1902, and hurricane season officially runs through November 30. Isaias is a miss for Naples. It isn't the last system of the season.
None of this needs a contractor. It needs 30 minutes and a dry stretch of afternoon.
Walk the perimeter of the house after any rain. Look at where the downspouts empty, whether gutters are carrying water or overflowing, and whether the swale or catch basin on your lot is clear.
The thing to look for is water sitting against the foundation. If it's still pooled near the house hours after the rain stops, that's the first thing to fix.
Look inside first. Check ceilings and the tops of walls for new stains from the October 7 rain, especially under roof valleys and around windows. Then check window frames, door thresholds, and the bottom seal on the garage door for daylight or dampness.
Stains don't always show up right away. A spot that wasn't there Wednesday can be there in two weeks.
Elevated east and southeast winds all weekend are a good reason to look at loose screen panels, missing fasteners, and any panel that's flexing more than it used to. Check for standing water on the lanai slab too, because that tells you whether the slab drains the way it should.
If you're planning an enclosure or outdoor kitchen, our outdoor living cost guide covers what the wind-load requirements look like in Collier County.
High tides plus surf put real load on seawalls. Look for new cracks, shifting caps, sinkholes or soil loss behind the wall, and clogged weep holes. Do this from dry ground, and stay back from the edge while the surf is up.
If water crosses the wall at high tide, take dated photos. You'll want them later.
Keep outdoor outlets and appliances dry, and don't use anything plugged in near standing water. If a GFCI outlet trips and won't reset after the rain, that's a sign moisture got in.
The calls usually come late. A homeowner notices a ceiling stain or a soft spot two or three weeks after a heavy rain, not two or three days, because water takes time to work through a wall or ceiling.
The common culprits are the same every time: failed sealant around windows and doors, flashing at roof penetrations, and drainage that sends water toward the house instead of away from it. None of those are dramatic. They're just easy to miss until the stain shows up.
If any of these is a yes, get it looked at this week rather than waiting for the next storm. A written inspection of what's wrong costs far less than a repair done under pressure. See our home inspection guide.
If you find something and want a second opinion on what actually needs fixing versus what can wait, we're glad to walk the property with you. Request an estimate.
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